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Fulfilling
a 60-year old Israeli dream and an American unwavering strategy, the 22-member
League of Arab States are now in consensus on a potentially
groundbreaking Arab Peace Initiative (API), which
pledges their collective and full recognition of the Jewish state and full-fledged
permanent
peace in return for withdrawing the Israeli Occupation
Forces (IOF) to 1967 lines, the establishment of an independent Palestine with
eastern Jerusalem as its capital, and “an agreed, just solution” to the
Palestinian refugee issue in accordance with United Nations Resolution 194, but both Washington and Tel Aviv are not forthcoming.
The
API was a dramatic reversal of decades-long policy as well as a peace offensive.
It was approved in Beirut
in 2002 by the Arab leaders who reiterated their commitment thereto at their
following annual summits. A meeting of their foreign ministers in Cairo earlier this month recommended to their upcoming
summit in Riyadh
on March 28-29
a renewal of their peace offer as a “strategic option.”
The
historic potentials of the API were acknowledged by the international Quartet
of Middle East mediators, comprising the U.S.,
the U.N., the E.U. and Russia.
In 2003 the U.N. Security Council Resolution 1515 cited the API as one of the
terms of reference for making peace between Arabs and Israelis.
Arab
leaders seemed recently to follow up on their initiative for the first time
with a diplomatic offensive that started ahead of their Riyadh summit and is expected to resume
thereafter. Their diplomatic campaign was spearheaded by Jordan’s King Abdullah II’s visit to Washington DC
and highlighted by his impressive and eloquent message to the U.S. Congress on
March 7.
The API was for five
years archived into oblivion on the shelves of the Arab League, rejected by Israel and ignored by the US, who in 2006
swiftly vetoed an Arab League move to revive peace making on its basis by
entrusting the mission to the U.N. Security Council. A change of heart
following the negative fallout of the Israeli war on Lebanon last summer moved
Washington to perceive in the strategic Arab option a tactical tool “to recast
the (regional) political landscape from the traditional one of Arabs versus
Israelis […] into a Sunni vs. Shiia alignment,”(1) thus opening a window of
opportunity for Arab leaders to follow up on it.
Seeking
to break through Israel’s rejection of their daring offer, the U.S.-allied Arab leaders have
turned to Washington appealing for intervention
and warning their offer could be the last chance to make peace otherwise the ideologies
of hate and terror would plunge the Middle East
into a wider conflict.
“Today, I must speak; I
cannot be silent,” the Jordanian monarch repeated to U.S. lawmakers: “Sixty years of
Palestinian dispossession, forty years under occupation, a stop-and-go peace
process, all this has left a bitter legacy of disappointment and despair. […]
It is time to create a new and different legacy.”
Indicating that thirteen
years on since late King Hussein, his father, and Israeli Prime Minister,
Yitzhak Rabin, were in Washington pursuing the cause of peace, the “work is
still not completed,” the “ongoing crisis” has failed eleven American
presidents and thirty American congresses, and incumbent President George W.
Bush’s “vision’” of a two-state solution risks to remain merely a vision for
ever, unless the U.S. rises up to the “challenge,” plays “an historic role,” and
uses its “unrivalled” potentials and “unprecedented power” to seize on the
“indeed historic, moment of opportunity,” made possible by the API.
“The wellspring of
regional division, the source of resentment and frustration far beyond is the
denial of justice and peace in Palestine,”
the king said. “We can wait no longer,” Abdullah II warned: “The status quo is
also pulling the region and the world towards greater danger […] the cycle of
crises is spinning faster, and with greater potential for destruction. […] Any
further erosion in the situation would be serious for the future of moderation
and coexistence, in the region and beyond” and “we are all at risk of being
victims of further violence resulting from ideologies of terror and hatred.”
(2)
The Jordanian monarch’s
message was also that of his Arab counterparts. He met with the Saudi Arabian
and Egyptian leaders, King Abdullah and President Hosni Mubarak, ahead of his U.S. visit.
What is more important in their warning message is that it is delivered by
U.S.-allied friends, whose support is essential to bring other U.S. regional
concerns to a successful conclusion. These leaders are now in the regional
driving seat.
Their leading role as
well as the U.S.
paramount position in the region could be compromised by ignoring their
warnings and the rare opportunity their initiative offers. Dealing adversely or
passively with their peaceful alternative to violent resistance to the Israeli
occupation is too risky. Especially the Saudi Arabian leader, King Abdullah,
the original author of the API, has invested a lot of his personal weight and
his Kingdom’s assets to win over Arab consensus on the initiative. He also
succeeded in securing Hamas’ indirect subscription to it. Riyadh
also won over Iran’s
support, according to the Saudi official news agency, or at least watered down
the Iranian opposition.
Abdullah II’s appeal
seems to have fallen on deaf ears on the Capitol Hill; so far it has created no
official forthcoming reaction, thus providing the necessary inaction for Israel to act intransigently and demand
practically the upcoming Riyadh
summit adopt an Israeli version of the API.
Criticism of the six
decade-old U.S. inaction strategy
of crisis management was recently eloquently questioned: “Is a comprehensive
Middle East peace in America’s
strategic interests? Put simply, what excuse would the US have for
remaining in the region playing policeman if all in the garden were lovely?”(3)
This strategy has all
along played into Israeli hands, backed up all Israeli expansionist wars
justified by Tel Aviv as pre-emptive, preventive and defensive, but in the end
boiled down to being simply aggressive military conquests with two major aims:
to grab more Palestinian land for the ongoing colonial Jewish settlement and to
maintain Arab land under Israeli occupation as a bargaining chip to blackmail
and dictate further Arab concessions. This is the strategy that has been
fuelling anti-Americanism among hundreds of millions of Arabs and Muslims
because literary it has turned the United States into a partner to the
Israeli 40-year old occupation.
The latest Israeli par
excellence exploitation of this strategy was recently illustrated vis-à-vis the
API.
Israeli
Foreign Minister, Tzipi Livni, went this month to
Brussels then to Washington to reconfirm Israel’s rejection of the Arab offer,
citing two non-starters: First the stipulated “agreed upon, just” solution of
the Palestinian refugees problem on the basis of the UN resolution 194, which
is “contrary to the principle of two states,” and Second what she described as the Arab “dream” of withdrawing
the IOF to their pre-1967 lines. Identifying these two points as “red line” she
told AIPAC nonetheless the Saudi plan has “positive elements,” but the
“original” Saudi plan, not the one adopted by the Arab League!
Livni was drawing on
President Bush’s letter of guarantees to the comatose former Israeli Prime
Minister, Ariel Sharon, on April 14, 2004, which was condemned by Arab
Palestinians as a “second Balfour Declaration” because it pledged U.S. rejection
of the Palestinian Right of Return and Israeli withdrawal to pre-1967 borders
as “unrealistic.” Both strategic allies are now blackmailing Arabs to surrender
further territorial and political “concessions” accordingly.
The simple
interpretation of Livni’s objections: Israel
is gearing up, backed by the U.S.,
towards dividing the occupied Palestinian West Bank between the Jewish settlers
whose colonies would be annexed to Israel
and the Palestinians who will be left with 42 percent of the West
Bank area to test-create a borderless transitional state as a
long-term arrangement. Palestinian and Arab consensus condemn this arrangement
as a non-starter, which will inevitably pre-empt any viable Palestinian state
as envisioned by Bush’s two-state “vision.”
Obviously Israel is seeking an Israeli version of the API,
but “unilaterally giving Israel
what it wants is not a solution. It would be wrong for the Arab summit
unilaterally to change the 2002 peace plan to meet the Israeli objections,”
wrote Rami Khouri, the editor of Lebanon’s The Daily Star, summing
up a widely held official Arab rejection.
Even U.S.-allied Jordan and Egypt
who signed peace treaties with Israel
on a bilateral basis are urging a comprehensive approach now and recalling
international legitimacy as the proper framework: During his meetings in the U.S., King
Abdullah II “underlined the need to solve the Palestinian issue in accordance
with the Arab peace initiative and international legitimacy resolutions.”(4)
Changing the API would
break up Arab consensus on it, which is its most effective asset that makes the
collective peace offer credible and an
historic turnabout opportunity.
Arab League Secretary-General,
Amr Moussa, warned on record: “Arab peace initiative expressed an Arab
consensus and will not be redrafted as demanded by some foreign powers.
Watering down” the plan would be “a strategic mistake” that could lead to new
bloodshed. “The Arab initiative is not
open for review.” Similarly GCC secretary-general, Abd Al-Rahman Al-'Atiya,
said the Gulf countries were opposed to changes to the API. Syria warned
she “absolutely rejected for some hostile fingers to toy, directly or through
brokers, with the agenda of the (upcoming) summit so that its decisions would
come in harmony with the Israeli and American interests.”
The Arab diplomatic
campaign however has had weight enough to corner Israel into defensive tactics. The
Israeli maneuvering between the “original” and the “adopted” API is one tactic;
another was Prime Minister Ehud Olmert’s statement on Sunday—hours ahead of a
meeting with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas in Jerusalem—that
Israel
“was ready to take seriously” the Arab plan, hoping the upcoming Arab summit
would bolster its “positive elements.” Abbas reportedly spent three quarters of
their two-hour meeting trying to convince Olmert of the official API.
The wide
political spectrum components of Israel’s incumbent cabinet of Olmert will go
down into history as the government that has let its people down by manoeuvring
to blackmail Arabs into an unattainable better deal than the best deal Israel
has ever had and could ever have to realize its sixty-year old dream of being
recognized and accepted as an integral part of the Arab and Muslim Middle East.
Israeli peaceniks seem too marginal to have any say among the main stream decision-makers
where the species of Avigdor Lieberman hold the upper hand on strategic issues.
Israeli leaders used to
mock Arab leaders as the masters of missing opportunities. This time, Israel is the
party who seems determined to miss a real historic opportunity.
Notes
(1) Frida Ghitis, http://worldpoliticswatch.com, Oct 10, 2006. (2) The
Age Online, Oct. 10, 2006.
(2) Jordan’s
King Abdullah II, Speech to U.S. Congress, March 7, 2007.
(3) Linda S. Heard, onlinejournal.com, March 7,
2007.
(4) (Petra, March 10, 2007.
Nicola Nasser is a
veteran Arab journalist based in Ramallah, West Bank of the Israeli-occupied
Palestinian territories.
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