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THE KING of
Siam knew how to deal with domestic opponents: he would present them with a
white elephant.
White elephants
are rare in nature, and therefore sacred. Being sacred, they may not be put to
work. But even a sacred elephant does eat, and eat a lot. Enough to turn a rich
man into a pauper.
My late
friend, General Matti Peled, one time Quartermaster General of the army,
pointed out the similarity between this elephant and many of our gifts from the
President of the United
States.
According
to the stipulations of the grant, most of it must be spent in the United States.
Let's assume that Israel
needs Merkava tanks, made in Israel.
Or anti-missile systems, also made in Israel. Instead of acquiring these
in Israel,
the Israeli army buys American airplanes, which it does not need.
A
state-of-the-art military airplane is an immensely expensive object. True, we
get it for nothing. But like the white elephant, the airplane is very costly to
maintain. It needs pilots, whose training costs a fortune. It needs airfields.
All these expenses add up to much more than the price of the airplane itself.
But which
army can refuse such a wonderful present?
THE MIDDLE EAST is now being invaded by a herd of white elephants.
This week
it became known that President Bush is about to supply Saudi Arabia
with huge quantities of the most advanced weapons. The price tag is 20 billion
(20,000,000,000) dollars.
Ostensibly,
the arms are needed to strengthen Saudi Arabia
against the Great Satan: Iran.
In Saudi eyes, this is now the great danger.
How did
this happen? For centuries, Iraq
served as a wall between Shiite Persian Iran and the Sunni Arab Middle East.
When President Bush toppled the Sunni regime in Iraq, the whole region was opened
up to the Shiite power. In Iraq
itself, a Shiite government was installed, and Shiite militias roam at will.
The Shiite Hizbullah is growing in power in Lebanon,
and Iran
is extending its long arm to all the Shiites in the region.
Allah, in
his infinite wisdom, has seen to it that almost all the huge Middle East oil
reserves are located in Shiite areas: in Iran,
in the South of Iraq and the Shiite areas of Saudi
Arabia and the Persian Gulf
principalities. If these reserves slip away from US control, it will cause a
drastic change in the balance of power, not only in the region but in the
entire world.
Therefore,
the strengthening of Saudi
Arabia - ruled by conservative Sunnis -
makes a lot of sense from the American point of view. However, the arms deal is
quite irrelevant to this.
The Saudis
do not need weapons. They have an instrument that is much more effective than
any number of airplanes and tanks: an inexhaustible supply of dollars. They use
it to finance friends, buy influence and bribe leaders.
On the
other side, Saudi Arabia
is unable to maintain the weapons that are flowing to it. It does not have
enough pilots for the airplanes it is buying, nor crews for the tanks. The new
weaponry will collect sand in the desert, like all the expensive weapons it has
bought in the past.
So what is
the sense in buying more weapons to the tune of 20 billions?
Well, the
Saudis are selling oil to the Americans for dollars. A lot of oil, a lot of
dollars. The United States,
with a huge gap in its balance of trade, cannot afford to lose these billions.
So, in order to make it possible for the US to carry this burden, the Saudis
must give back at least a part of the money. How? Quite simple: they buy
American arms that they don't need.
This is a
merry-go-round that benefits all. Especially the Saudi princes. Saudi Arabia is
blessed with a great abundance of these - some 9000 (nine thousand) princes,
all belonging to the House of Saud. A prince has a lot of wives, a wife has a
lot of offspring. Some of them are arms dealers, who automatically receive fat
commissions from the arms billions. (It is easy to work it out: a mere one
percent of 20 billions amounts to 200 million. And they would laugh at a
commission of one percent.)
The princes
have, therefore, a vested interest in this convenient arrangement.
THIS IS where Israel
enters the picture.
Every arms
deal made by the White House needs the assent of Congress. In Congress, the
"friends of Israel"
- the Jewish and the Evangelist lobbies - rule supreme. Any senator or
congressman can forget about being reelected if he offends one of these
lobbies.
When Israel raises its voice against an arms deal
with Saudi Arabia,
the White House has a problem. The more so since there is a certain logic to
the Israeli objection: the Saudi airbase in Tabuk is but a few minutes flying
time from the Israeli port of Eilat.
What to do?
Easy: give us a present of weapons, in order to maintain "the balance of
power" and our "qualitative superiority over all the Arab armies
combined".
So,
together with the 20 billion deal with the Saudis, President Bush decreed that
the American yearly grant of military assistance to Israel should be raised from 2.4 billion
to 3 billion. This means that in the coming ten years, Israel will
receive arms to the value of 30 billion dollars.
Apart from
the small part of the grant that Israel
is allowed to spend elsewhere, this huge sum must be spent in the United States.
From the economic point of view, the gift to Israel is really an immense boost
to the American arms industry. It will enrich the arms producers, who are so
dear to Bush's heart. It will also show the American public how their wise
president creates a lot of nice new jobs for them.
THAT, OF course, is not the end of the story.
It would be
unacceptable to "strengthen" the rulers of Saudi Arabia in such an impressive
way, without giving something to the other kings, presidents and emirs who
cooperate with the Americans. Egypt,
Jordan
and the Gulf emirs expect their share, too.
The new
arms deals will, therefore, amount to 40, 50 and God knows how many more
billions of dollars.
That's not
bad for the arms producers, who helped Bush get elected and continue to support
him. Not bad for the arms merchants, the princes and all the others who profit,
the corrupt regimes that rule the Middle East (and, in this respect at least, Israel has
succeeded in becoming an integral part of the region.)
ALL THIS could be amusing, were it not for the dark side of these circular
deals.
When I was
a child, I was taught that one of the most despicable human types is the arms
merchant. He is quite different from all other kinds of trader, because his
merchandise is death. His riches are drenched with blood. The title "arms
merchant" was, at that time, a stinging insult, one of the worst. A person
would not introduce himself as such any more than he would admit to being a
hired killer.
Times have
changed. The arms dealer is now a respectable person. He can be a celebrity, an
object of adulation for the gutter press, a friend of politicians, a generous
host of members of the government.
Weapons
have their own life. They strive to realize their potential. Their mission is
to kill. A general whose arsenals are full tends to fantasize about "war
this summer" or "war this winter".
The killing
potential of weapons is getting "better" all the time, and their
producers need testing grounds. Some days ago, one of our generals revealed on
television that under an American-Israeli agreement, the Israeli army is
obliged to report to the American military establishment on the effectiveness
of all kinds of arms. For example: the accuracy of "smart" bombs and
the performance of airplanes, missiles, drones, tanks and all the other
instruments of destruction in our wars.
Every
"targeted killing" in Gaza or use of
fragmentation bombs in Lebanon
serves also as a test. The leveling of a neighborhood in Beirut, the death of
women and children as "collateral damage", the ongoing amputation of
limbs by fragmentation bombs in South Lebanon - all these are statistical facts
that are important for American arms manufacturers to know, so they can improve
their merchandise.
A deal is a
deal, and goods are goods.
IN THE same week that these huge arms deals were announced, Ehud Olmert spoke
about a dialogue (unlimited in time) about the (nonbinding) principles for a
final status agreement. Condoleezza was again buzzing around the region's
capitals, smiling and talking, embracing and talking.
Saudi Arabia is hinting that perhaps-perhaps it
may be ready to sit with Israel
at the table of the "peace meeting" that may take place in the
autumn. This is also intended to make it easier for Congress (meaning: the pro-Israeli
lobby) to confirm the arms deal.
Bush's
people have announced for the umpteenth time that a "window of
opportunity" is now open. (Not a "gate of opportunity", not a
"door of opportunity" but a window. As if windows were for walking
through rather then looking through.)
All this
activity somehow reminds me of another story about the white elephant:
An American
billionaire had set his mind on acquiring a white elephant, in order to impress
his peers. But it is strictly forbidden to export white elephants from Thailand,
because they are so rare.
A shrewd
operator promised to get him a white elephant, and even told him how he would
go about it: he would paint the elephant gray before smuggling him out.
And indeed,
at the promised time a crate arrived, and out walked a gray elephant. When the
gray paint was scrubbed off, a white elephant was revealed. But with a bit more
scrubbing, the white paint also came off, and underneath - the elephant was
gray.
Uri Avnery is a former Member of the Knesset and an Israeli author and activist. He is the
head of the Israeli peace movement, “Gush Shalom”.
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